tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Indianapolis via Austin: arrives on time 43%

  1. 11:50 MDW → 14:25 AUS
    WN 2728 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 71% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 AUS → 18:45 IND
    WN 927 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 55mMDW 11:50 to IND 18:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.