tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 42%

  1. 05:15 SMF → 11:10 MDW
    WN 2728 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 MDW → 17:25 BWI
    WN 1020 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 12 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip9h 10mSMF 05:15 to BWI 17:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.