tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 50%

  1. 05:15 SMF → 11:10 MDW
    WN 2728 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 MDW → 17:35 HOU
    WN 1124 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 55% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 12 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip10h 20mSMF 05:15 to HOU 17:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.