tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Dallas via Chicago: arrives on time 67%

  1. 05:15 SMF → 11:10 MDW
    WN 2728 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:20 MDW → 14:35 DAL
    WN 2757 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 71% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 20mSMF 05:15 to DAL 14:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.