tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kansas City via Chicago: arrives on time 60%

  1. 05:15 SMF → 11:10 MDW
    WN 2728 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:05 MDW → 13:30 MCI
    WN 2810 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 69% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 15mSMF 05:15 to MCI 13:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.