tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Orlando via Chicago: arrives on time 53%

  1. 05:15 SMF → 11:10 MDW
    WN 2728 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 MDW → 17:30 MCO
    WN 2819 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 55% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip9h 15mSMF 05:15 to MCO 17:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.