tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Dallas via Houston: arrives on time 32%

  1. 18:10 DCA → 20:35 HOU
    WN 2730 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 26% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 HOU → 23:10 DAL
    WN 64 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 65% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 00mDCA 18:10 to DAL 23:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.