tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 54%

  1. 06:40 MHT → 08:05 MDW
    WN 2732 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:15 MDW → 14:00 DCA
    WN 1294 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 20mMHT 06:40 to DCA 14:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.