tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Orlando via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 06:40 MHT → 08:05 MDW
    WN 2732 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 MDW → 14:35 MCO
    WN 2818 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 59% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 55mMHT 06:40 to MCO 14:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.