Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Diego via Nashville: arrives on time 17%

  1. 11:20 MDW → 12:45 BNA
    WN 2733 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 BNA → 15:45 SAN
    WN 4111 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip6h 25mMDW 11:20 to SAN 15:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.