tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Chicago via Tampa: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:55 DCA → 09:20 TPA
    WN 2739 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 96% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 TPA → 12:25 MDW
    WN 4033 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 30mDCA 06:55 to MDW 12:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.