tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Atlanta via St Louis: arrives on time 60%

  1. 15:00 LGA → 17:00 STL
    WN 2740 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 73% on time, 11.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 STL → 22:40 ATL
    WN 3883 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (11.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 40mLGA 15:00 to ATL 22:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.