tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Francisco via Burbank: arrives on time 39%

  1. 10:05 MDW → 12:25 BUR
    WN 2741 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Burbank (BUR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:12 BUR → 14:35 SFO
    WN 2165 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 53% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip6h 27mMDW 10:05 to SFO 14:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.