tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rochester via Baltimore: arrives on time 57%

  1. 12:00 MDW → 14:50 BWI
    WN 2744 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 73% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:55 BWI → 17:15 ROC
    WN 3789 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rochester is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 15mMDW 12:00 to ROC 17:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.