tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Hartford via Baltimore: arrives on time 56%

  1. 12:00 MDW → 14:50 BWI
    WN 2744 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 73% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:10 BWI → 18:30 BDL
    WN 428 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 68% on time, 12.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hartford is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (12.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 30mMDW 12:00 to BDL 18:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.