tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Sacramento via Denver: arrives on time 69%

  1. 09:40 BWI → 11:25 DEN
    WN 275 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 DEN → 14:58 SMF
    WN 1741 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 20mBWI 09:40 to SMF 14:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.