tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Dallas via Chicago: arrives on time 33%

  1. 17:20 PHL → 18:30 MDW
    WN 2756 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 48% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 MDW → 22:55 DAL
    WN 1005 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 50% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 35mPHL 17:20 to DAL 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.