tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Raleigh/Durham via Dallas: arrives on time 23%

  1. 12:20 MDW → 14:35 DAL
    WN 2757 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 71% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:35 DAL → 19:15 RDU
    WN 1389 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (33%).
Total trip5h 55mMDW 12:20 to RDU 19:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.