tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Los Angeles via Dallas: arrives on time 26%

  1. 12:20 MDW → 14:35 DAL
    WN 2757 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 71% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 DAL → 16:40 LAX
    WN 3161 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip6h 20mMDW 12:20 to LAX 16:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.