tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → El Paso via Denver: arrives on time 23%

  1. 14:30 MDW → 16:10 DEN
    WN 2768 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 DEN → 19:10 ELP
    WN 1530 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip5h 40mMDW 14:30 to ELP 19:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.