tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Santa Ana via Denver: arrives on time 36%

  1. 14:30 MDW → 16:10 DEN
    WN 2768 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:32 DEN → 20:00 SNA
    WN 1748 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip7h 32mMDW 14:30 to SNA 20:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.