tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Denver: arrives on time 14%

  1. 14:30 MDW → 16:10 DEN
    WN 2768 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 DEN → 23:00 LGA
    WN 4480 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 25% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (25%).
Total trip7h 30mMDW 14:30 to LGA 23:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.