tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Albuquerque via Denver: arrives on time 29%

  1. 16:15 MDW → 18:00 DEN
    WN 2769 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 62% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 DEN → 20:15 ABQ
    WN 138 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 00mMDW 16:15 to ABQ 20:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.