tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Raleigh/Durham via Denver: arrives on time 17%

  1. 16:15 MDW → 18:00 DEN
    WN 2769 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 62% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 DEN → 00:40 RDU +1 day
    WN 1692 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 23% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (23%).
Total trip7h 25mMDW 16:15 to RDU 00:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.