tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Francisco via Denver: arrives on time 9%

  1. 16:15 MDW → 18:00 DEN
    WN 2769 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 62% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 DEN → 23:25 SFO
    WN 4303 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 10% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (10%).
Total trip9h 10mMDW 16:15 to SFO 23:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.