tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Long Beach via Dallas: arrives on time 30%

  1. 16:05 AUS → 17:15 DAL
    WN 277 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 DAL → 19:35 LGB
    WN 1336 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Long Beach is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip5h 30mAUS 16:05 to LGB 19:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.