tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → St Louis via Dallas: arrives on time 37%

  1. 16:05 AUS → 17:15 DAL
    WN 277 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:25 DAL → 20:10 STL
    WN 4444 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip4h 05mAUS 16:05 to STL 20:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.