tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Las Vegas via Los Angeles: arrives on time 11%

  1. 14:15 SFO → 15:45 LAX
    WN 278 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 20% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 LAX → 18:15 LAS
    WN 1571 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 34% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip4h 00mSFO 14:15 to LAS 18:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.