tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Memphis via Houston: arrives on time 59%

  1. 10:10 MDW → 12:50 HOU
    WN 2783 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:45 HOU → 16:20 MEM
    WN 410 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 10mMDW 10:10 to MEM 16:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.