tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Reno via Las Vegas: arrives on time 67%

  1. 10:10 MDW → 12:00 LAS
    WN 2794 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 LAS → 15:30 RNO
    WN 2104 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 20mMDW 10:10 to RNO 15:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.