tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Dallas via Las Vegas: arrives on time 53%

  1. 14:18 MDW → 16:12 LAS
    WN 2795 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 71% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 LAS → 22:10 DAL
    WN 2220 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 72% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 52mMDW 14:18 to DAL 22:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.