tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Reno via Las Vegas: arrives on time 66%

  1. 14:18 MDW → 16:12 LAS
    WN 2795 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 71% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 LAS → 20:35 RNO
    WN 792 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 72% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 17mMDW 14:18 to RNO 20:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.