tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Long Beach via Las Vegas: arrives on time 43%

  1. 16:55 MDW → 18:45 LAS
    WN 2797 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 LAS → 21:10 LGB
    WN 2031 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 70% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Long Beach is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 15mMDW 16:55 to LGB 21:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.