tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Bozeman via Las Vegas: arrives on time 50%

  1. 16:55 MDW → 18:45 LAS
    WN 2797 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 LAS → 01:12 BZN +1 day
    WN 992 · Southwest · 2h 08m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip9h 18mMDW 16:55 to BZN 01:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.