tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sarasota/Bradenton via New York: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:15 MDW → 08:15 LGA
    WN 2801 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 13m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:28 LGA → 13:33 SRQ
    DL 2412 · Delta · 3h 06m · 90% on time, 8.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 13m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (8.2% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 19mMDW 05:15 to SRQ 13:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.