tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Santa Ana via Portland: arrives on time 91%

  1. 10:05 MDW → 12:25 PDX
    WN 2809 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:48 PDX → 17:19 SNA
    AS 264 · Alaska · 2h 31m · 92% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 14mMDW 10:05 to SNA 17:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.