tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Reno via Portland: arrives on time 90%

  1. 10:05 MDW → 12:25 PDX
    WN 2809 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 36m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:01 PDX → 16:30 RNO
    AS 2206 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 29m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 36m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 25mMDW 10:05 to RNO 16:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.