tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sacramento via Portland: arrives on time 84%

  1. 10:05 MDW → 12:25 PDX
    WN 2809 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:32 PDX → 16:06 SMF
    AS 2405 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 34m · 88% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 01mMDW 10:05 to SMF 16:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.