tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 05:30 SEA → 11:25 MDW
    WN 2810 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 MDW → 15:35 DCA
    WN 2761 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 75% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 05mSEA 05:30 to DCA 15:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.