tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → El Paso via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 05:30 SEA → 11:25 MDW
    WN 2810 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:55 MDW → 16:00 ELP
    WN 2774 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 66% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip9h 30mSEA 05:30 to ELP 16:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.