tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New Orleans via Orlando: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:10 MDW → 08:40 MCO
    WN 2815 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 17m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:57 MCO → 11:51 MSY
    F9 3553 · Frontier · 1h 54m · 88% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 17m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 41mMDW 05:10 to MSY 11:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.