tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Newark via Orlando: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:10 MDW → 08:40 MCO
    WN 2815 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:22 MCO → 13:05 EWR
    UA 2120 · United · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 55mMDW 05:10 to EWR 13:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.