tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Washington via Orlando: arrives on time 70%

  1. 05:10 MDW → 08:40 MCO
    WN 2815 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:45 MCO → 12:00 DCA
    WN 1908 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 50mMDW 05:10 to DCA 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.