tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Baltimore via Orlando: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:30 MDW → 10:05 MCO
    WN 2816 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:55 MCO → 13:10 BWI
    WN 193 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 40mMDW 06:30 to BWI 13:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.