tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Tulsa via Orlando: arrives on time 55%

  1. 06:30 MDW → 10:05 MCO
    WN 2816 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:45 MCO → 15:25 TUL
    WN 2717 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip8h 55mMDW 06:30 to TUL 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.