tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rochester via Orlando: arrives on time 37%

  1. 11:00 MDW → 14:35 MCO
    WN 2818 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 59% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:10 MCO → 19:00 ROC
    WN 2693 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rochester is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip7h 00mMDW 11:00 to ROC 19:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.