tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Atlanta via Orlando: arrives on time 16%

  1. 11:00 MDW → 14:35 MCO
    WN 2818 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 59% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:22 MCO → 17:02 ATL
    WN 4922 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 02mMDW 11:00 to ATL 17:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.