tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Memphis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 78%

  1. 15:30 MDW → 17:00 MSP
    WN 2832 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 60% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:05 MSP → 22:21 MEM
    DL 4035 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 16m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 51mMDW 15:30 to MEM 22:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.