tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 67%

  1. 07:05 ORF → 08:10 MDW
    WN 2834 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 MDW → 11:45 MSP
    WN 2869 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 40mORF 07:05 to MSP 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.