tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:05 ORF → 08:10 MDW
    WN 2834 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MDW → 11:55 PHL
    WN 4901 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip4h 50mORF 07:05 to PHL 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.